Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
130 Montana 100.0%   14   24 - 8 16 - 4 24 - 8 16 - 4 +2.7      +2.5 110 +0.2 164 67.0 224 +3.7 119 +1.6 1
194 Northern Colorado 0.0%   19 - 11 15 - 5 19 - 11 15 - 5 -2.1      -1.7 224 -0.4 175 66.6 236 -1.3 185 +0.7 2
212 Weber St. 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 9 16 - 15 11 - 9 -2.8      -1.5 215 -1.3 202 75.9 39 -3.8 219 -4.9 6
227 Eastern Washington 0.0%   15 - 18 12 - 8 15 - 18 12 - 8 -3.7      -1.6 223 -2.0 231 68.7 176 -4.2 229 -3.5 3
241 Montana St. 0.0%   14 - 17 11 - 9 14 - 17 11 - 9 -4.7      +2.7 103 -7.4 340 73.7 68 -5.3 250 -4.7 5
272 Sacramento St. 0.0%   12 - 16 8 - 12 13 - 16 8 - 12 -6.4      -4.9 299 -1.5 214 68.6 179 -6.5 275 -8.4 9
275 Portland St. 0.0%   13 - 16 11 - 9 13 - 16 11 - 9 -6.6      -1.2 210 -5.4 309 71.8 99 -5.9 260 -4.5 4
280 Southern Utah 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 11 14 - 16 9 - 11 -6.8      -4.9 301 -1.9 224 75.4 44 -5.1 241 -7.0 7
300 Northern Arizona 0.0%   10 - 21 8 - 12 10 - 21 8 - 12 -8.1      -2.6 251 -5.5 312 70.7 127 -8.7 303 -8.2 8
324 Idaho St. 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 13 9 - 19 7 - 13 -11.0      -1.6 218 -9.4 349 67.7 208 -8.2 296 -9.2 10
345 Idaho 0.0%   3 - 26 2 - 18 3 - 26 2 - 18 -15.3      -5.9 315 -9.4 350 64.1 304 -17.0 342 -17.8 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Montana 1.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 2.0 100.0
Weber St. 4.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 3.0 100.0
Montana St. 4.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 8.0 100.0
Portland St. 4.0 100.0
Southern Utah 7.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 8.0 100.0
Idaho St. 10.0 100.0
Idaho 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Montana 16 - 4 100.0
Northern Colorado 15 - 5 100.0
Weber St. 11 - 9 100.0
Eastern Washington 12 - 8 100.0
Montana St. 11 - 9 100.0
Sacramento St. 8 - 12 100.0
Portland St. 11 - 9 100.0
Southern Utah 9 - 11 100.0
Northern Arizona 8 - 12 100.0
Idaho St. 7 - 13 100.0
Idaho 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana 100.0% 100.0
Northern Colorado
Weber St.
Eastern Washington
Montana St.
Sacramento St.
Portland St.
Southern Utah
Northern Arizona
Idaho St.
Idaho


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.9 55.3 43.8 0.0
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 6.2% 0.1 93.8 6.2
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0